1 comments

  • chollida1 34 minutes ago

    Interesting:

    - Elon's got SPCX today and TSLA tomorrow, can't remember that ever happening before:)

    - the biggest driver of Elons net worth and wealth

    - he could become a trillionaire if this goes well

    - politicians pointing out the conflict of interest “SpaceX got almost $6 BILLION in taxpayer-funded defense contracts last fiscal year,” Van Hollen wrote. “Meanwhile, SpaceX CEO, Elon Musk, has spent over $360 MILLION in our elections this cycle. This should be illegal — but it isn’t. I’ll be introducing a bill to close the loophole that allows it.”

    - SPCX refers to AI as AI and SI in different places so the SI term hasn't taken off yet:)

    - will they address a TSLA SPCX merger

    - earnings call livestreamed on X

    - company is roughly flat since its IPO, this seems like it will be the new win for companies that go public with such large valuations, very hard to grow from a $2T market cap.

    - if SPCX is worth $2T, it will be very hard for Anthropic and OpenAI to claim they are worth as much with worse prospects, especailly if the rumours of an $80B loss for Anthropic is correct

    - Elon says they will have between $500B adn $1T of reocurring revenu by next year, press X to doubt, but its Elon so...

    Starlink:

    - radio frequency spectrum aquisition shoudl close 27Q2

    - subscriber growth was less than expected, but offset by customers paying more

    - now at 13.5M subscribers

    - will they address the headlines that now claim Elon was personally responsible for the Ukraine Starlink shutdown(wall street journal reporting so likely correct)

    - expect to have 100,000 starlink satalites in space by 2029

    - looking to do a midspace refuel in H1 next year

    - satellite network is contracted for 12,000 planes

    Cursor & AI:

    - contributed $608M in revenue, for the current AI market boom this is surprisingly low number, like really low, like cursor employees should be concerned about their jobs

    - operating profit of $431M on the quarter, pretty darn good

    - still up from $1.2B last quarter

    - now larger than space in terms of revenue

    - hve 1.7GW of compute now, but Elon says he's spending 4-5 days a week in Memphis working to bring on 3GW by the end of the year and 14GW by the end of next year

    - named dropped Nvidia Vera Rubin as the main chip they'll be using

    - Elon says he expects Grok Bot to be the biggest use of computer/AI from grok users

    Finacials

    - expected $92B in cash, but only have $51B huge discrenency here, *offset by $38B in securities, so still off but not too far off

    - quarterly profit of $0.35/share

    - 3Q Net Income $4.40B, Est. $1.88B

    - 3Q Rev. $14.58B, Est. $12.87B

    - 3Q Adj. Ebitda $8.81B, Est. $6.59B

    - 3Q Capex $19.59B, Est. $19.6B

    - Space capex is $1.6B, who would have thought that the space program is really cheap to run vs a software business:)

    - $4.3B in NASA contracts

    - Numbers are good but expectations were sky high so stock could easily fall at the open

    - net income got a boost from $1B of other income and $400M of tax benefits, so operating income was $2.8B(vs $2.2B expected)

    Starship:

    - expenses (R&D and Launches) were up $367M YOY, shows launches are up as is development

    - Elon saying they'll fly weekly starting Q2 next year!!!!!, though last earnings he said it woudl be daily by the same period so maybe bet on a launch a month to keep this on Elon time

    -