Small, local models approach frontier-level prowess and reliability and so every person runs their own personal and private AI system. Frontier labs switch to serving large corporations and governments exclusively. An AI bifurcation, free AI for the masses and dangerously powerful AI for the psychopathic leaders of industry and global politics.
HNers are the last people I'd ask: they're the most cynical group about AI (and technology in general) there is.
You might as well ask horses in 1908 what they expect from the next 5 years of combustion engines
Small, local models approach frontier-level prowess and reliability and so every person runs their own personal and private AI system. Frontier labs switch to serving large corporations and governments exclusively. An AI bifurcation, free AI for the masses and dangerously powerful AI for the psychopathic leaders of industry and global politics.
It will tell lies more convincingly.
Division, violence, some possibly interesting theorems proved
A big loss of money