We reverse engineered and analyzed confidence formulas for Jev's Choice and Score. The latter was not obvious at all. In our opinion, neither is confidence.
I noticed something odd about Jev. I tested Jev with a fair die 400 times without telling it the die result. Even though the true probability of face 1 is 1/6, Jev always chose 1 and the probability it returned was around 83%.
We reverse engineered and analyzed confidence formulas for Jev's Choice and Score. The latter was not obvious at all. In our opinion, neither is confidence.
I noticed something odd about Jev. I tested Jev with a fair die 400 times without telling it the die result. Even though the true probability of face 1 is 1/6, Jev always chose 1 and the probability it returned was around 83%.