Telephone operators? Word processors and typists? These sound like job categories from the 80s. This just the first couple I noticed in the graph there. Aren't those jobs that were already largely gone even prior to AI?
Anyway, they have that first graph there showing extrapolated employment trends, but there's nothing about the methodology they used to come up with it.
The main problem is that we keep calling it AI … these text processors are useful but where is the evidence that they will scale to AGI?
If I built a calculator a few years ago then I built a mind blowing calculator today - it does not mean that I’m about to solve every math problem in the universe but it mean that I got good at building calculators
Telephone operators? Word processors and typists? These sound like job categories from the 80s. This just the first couple I noticed in the graph there. Aren't those jobs that were already largely gone even prior to AI?
Anyway, they have that first graph there showing extrapolated employment trends, but there's nothing about the methodology they used to come up with it.
I have yet to see a these models factor in widespread death, looting, rioting, hunger, etc that will happen long before we hit 100% unemploymenet
We need rapid AI adoption and scaring people with misleading job loss scenarios doesn't help at all.
AI isn't going to kill humanity, either. I'm 100% certain of that in the next 5 years.
The main problem is that we keep calling it AI … these text processors are useful but where is the evidence that they will scale to AGI? If I built a calculator a few years ago then I built a mind blowing calculator today - it does not mean that I’m about to solve every math problem in the universe but it mean that I got good at building calculators
We modeled how fast AI would eat through ~800 jobs. Try it!