Hi HN, I wrote this and I’m affiliated with the site.
This is a public-source model for what “run Venezuela” could cost per month under three scenarios, anchored to Venezuela’s published budget scale and adding the under-covered premiums: payment rails, insurability, compliance overhead, and legal friction.
Charts included (waterfall, scenario bands, oil gross vs. ranges). Feedback welcome, especially on assumptions you’d tighten.
Because it’s a rare moment where a political line implies an actual operational commitment, and nobody was quantifying it with receipts. I’m less interested in the rhetoric and more in the mechanics: who pays in month one if oil cash and banking channels freeze.
Hi HN, I wrote this and I’m affiliated with the site.
This is a public-source model for what “run Venezuela” could cost per month under three scenarios, anchored to Venezuela’s published budget scale and adding the under-covered premiums: payment rails, insurability, compliance overhead, and legal friction.
Charts included (waterfall, scenario bands, oil gross vs. ranges). Feedback welcome, especially on assumptions you’d tighten.
Why did you make it?
Because it’s a rare moment where a political line implies an actual operational commitment, and nobody was quantifying it with receipts. I’m less interested in the rhetoric and more in the mechanics: who pays in month one if oil cash and banking channels freeze.
It's not going to happen that way, that is just the Trump administration daydreaming.