S&P500 Priced in Gold

15 points | by jcartw 3 hours ago

9 comments

  • hnburnsy 25 minutes ago

    Totally misleading, S&P with dividends reinvested blows away gold since 1950 or 1971.

    S&P 500 Investment (with Dividends Reinvested) Historical data shows that $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 at the start of 1950, with all dividends reinvested, would grow to approximately $3,836,763 by the end of 2025.

    Gold provided pure price appreciation (no yield or dividends). The multiplier is about 124.7× ($4,360 ÷ $35), or an annualized return of roughly 6.8% over 75 years.

    Ounces purchased in 1950: $10,000 ÷ $35/oz ≈ 285.71 ounces

    Current value: 285.71 oz × $4,360/oz ≈ $1,246,700

      FreeTrade 7 minutes ago

      And to be extra fair, we might want to subtract tax from those dividends before reinvestment.

  • sebmellen 27 minutes ago

    This is a very interesting chart but I can't figure out if it takes compounding into account or not.

      FreeTrade 6 minutes ago

      Yes, these charts keep popping up on my Twitter and it's always difficult to know what they are really measuring.

  • syntaxing 28 minutes ago

    What does this mean? That the valuation of dollar dropped as much as the SP500 growth?

  • sebmellen 28 minutes ago

    I’d be interested to see a similar chart for silver.

  • xeckr 3 hours ago

    Economic stagnation for over a decade? Aligns with the vibes, IMO.

      stephen_g an hour ago

      Gold is just one of many commodities these days, mostly unconnected from most monetary systems for many decades. Treating it as the benchmark of value is really quite arbitrary, and I expect someone could compare the S&P to other random commodities and come up with completely different conclusions...

        xeckr 31 minutes ago

        I'd definitely be curious to see the S&P valued in different commodities over time. With that said, gold certainly feels like a special indicator given its history as a universally recognized store of value.