Not to be insensitive to the Iranian people, but it's like France in a lot of ways, they riot/protest so much that the information content of any given riot/protest movement is minimal.
It will probably be crushed like all the other protests, unfortunately. But iran is in a worse state then it's ever been. The catalyst for this round is a currency collapse and a looming water crisis. Sadly, the Revolutionary corps seem well funded from oil money.
At the moment Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china (something which Israel and the US should be much more proactive about IMO) in preparation for the next round of hostilities in which they will no doubt be humiliated again. They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time and retain what's left of their shattered ambitions and ego.
Still we can always hope for a regime collapse. From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing.
> Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china
Has this been confirmed?
> From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing
Iran's borders encompass a bit of a shitshow. Its dominant ethnicity is less than three fifths the population [1]. Its next three-largest ethnicities, Azeris (14%), Kurds (9%) and Gilaki (5%) meanwhile, have bordering extant or aspiring nation-states.
(To the extent there is a hilarious if bastardly alliance in the region, it would be between Israel and Azerbaijan. Israel provides firepower. Azerbaijan gains the Azeri (and maybe Gilaki) majority north of Iran, cutting off Armenia's southern border and giving it a land border with Turkey for more pipelines.)
>helping the latter seize Iran's northern and Azeri/Gilaki-majority territories
Wont't ever happen because Aliev is the OG of multipolarity/mnogovektornost and this would prevent him from scamming all of his neighbors at the same time.
i hope only the best for the people of iran because they seem to be completely fantastic people and iran is an absolutely majestically beautiful place. and, selfishly, i would love to be able to visit one day. ugh, the whole situation is just so sad.
Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran. Historically (in Iran and other places), we saw political and internal crises emerge/staged when the US is planning a regime change in that country.
Iran has protests all the time, as do lots of other countries _including the US_ and France and others and they don't herald US-led regime change. But if you have evidence for your claim that the US and Israel are planning a war in Iran, that would be major international news.
I’m sure it has nothing to do with the fact Iran is so mismanaged and suffering from severe drought they are talking about water rations or evacuations in Tehran.. or the plummeting of their currency [1] .. or the fact that the majority of the country doesn’t even support the current government [2] … no must be a conspiracy. </sarcasm>
We should be disparaging of fear mongering conspiracy theories that have no facts to back them up. Just like if you told me Democrats in the US are controlling hurricanes, or that 5G caused covid.
For those getting excited about regime change:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_protests
Not to be insensitive to the Iranian people, but it's like France in a lot of ways, they riot/protest so much that the information content of any given riot/protest movement is minimal.
Most protests don't lead to regime change.
WSJ wont open for me, but was able to find it via MSN: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-protests-enter-thi...
not sure where to pull that doesn't have tracking, not seeing it on archive yet.
It will probably be crushed like all the other protests, unfortunately. But iran is in a worse state then it's ever been. The catalyst for this round is a currency collapse and a looming water crisis. Sadly, the Revolutionary corps seem well funded from oil money.
At the moment Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china (something which Israel and the US should be much more proactive about IMO) in preparation for the next round of hostilities in which they will no doubt be humiliated again. They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time and retain what's left of their shattered ambitions and ego.
Still we can always hope for a regime collapse. From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing.
> Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china
Has this been confirmed?
> From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing
Iran's borders encompass a bit of a shitshow. Its dominant ethnicity is less than three fifths the population [1]. Its next three-largest ethnicities, Azeris (14%), Kurds (9%) and Gilaki (5%) meanwhile, have bordering extant or aspiring nation-states.
(To the extent there is a hilarious if bastardly alliance in the region, it would be between Israel and Azerbaijan. Israel provides firepower. Azerbaijan gains the Azeri (and maybe Gilaki) majority north of Iran, cutting off Armenia's southern border and giving it a land border with Turkey for more pipelines.)
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Iran
>helping the latter seize Iran's northern and Azeri/Gilaki-majority territories
Wont't ever happen because Aliev is the OG of multipolarity/mnogovektornost and this would prevent him from scamming all of his neighbors at the same time.
i hope only the best for the people of iran because they seem to be completely fantastic people and iran is an absolutely majestically beautiful place. and, selfishly, i would love to be able to visit one day. ugh, the whole situation is just so sad.
>They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time
Are they planning to bomb more buildings in Gaza?
The timing of this seems rather suspect.
Please could you explain this?
Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran. Historically (in Iran and other places), we saw political and internal crises emerge/staged when the US is planning a regime change in that country.
> Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran
Israel and America are sabre rattling with Iran. It's been happening for about as long as Iran has been calling for death to America and Israel.
On the reason spectrum of :
- 50% inflation, tax hikes and currency devaluation [1]
- Manufactured crisis
- The presence of the 3i comet in our solar system
where would Occam's razor cut?
[1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/26/irans-government-b...
> Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran
Source?
Iran has protests all the time, as do lots of other countries _including the US_ and France and others and they don't herald US-led regime change. But if you have evidence for your claim that the US and Israel are planning a war in Iran, that would be major international news.
It is. I heard about it on the radio.
I’m sure it has nothing to do with the fact Iran is so mismanaged and suffering from severe drought they are talking about water rations or evacuations in Tehran.. or the plummeting of their currency [1] .. or the fact that the majority of the country doesn’t even support the current government [2] … no must be a conspiracy. </sarcasm>
1. https://www.meforum.org/mef-observer/irans-currency-collapse...
2. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202302036145
Why not both? No need to be so disparaging.
We should be disparaging of fear mongering conspiracy theories that have no facts to back them up. Just like if you told me Democrats in the US are controlling hurricanes, or that 5G caused covid.