When I book online, I receive the ticket. I don’t receive a ticket of an imaginary flight of a made up company with the notice “you should check the validity of the ticket yourself”.
It does seem like most of the American economy since factories left has been information asymmetry. The travel agents had the "special phone number" to call to get someone on a boat for half the price. Probably a little bit more than that. We're going to entering a time of crushing economic conditions.
while AI does lower the barrier to who can do software development it does not nullify their need only moves them into more complicated domains. Yes, if you're job as a SWE was building landing pages, you're pretty much cooked. But if you're working in complicated domains, or domains that require a level of technical awareness or social skills to create success, AI is just an amplifier and makes the boring/frustrating parts easier.
I am using claude to build a pretty complicated project. Technically, a lot of what i am prompting are things that other people could prompt. But I also do find myself leveraging a lot of knowledge in shaping what the code should do and how it should do it, and also needing to step in when claude reaches limits of it's training. I am confident that the number of people who could build what I am building is pretty small.
So I think the author is creating a narrative that is unfounded. There will always be software engineers. There will always be engineering challenges that it takes a human to resolve. Yes, always; no matter how "smart" the AI gets. For sure, AI will be taking some development jobs. But calling for a collapse is simply hyperbole, shortsighted and naive.
FWIW I just did in four hours what would have taken me about two weeks for my side project.
The boring routine parts of software engineering are no more. My project is elixir phoenix and tailwind. The AI and I completely overhauled my sites UI and UX and implemented many bug fixes and effectively relaunched my website in four hours.
If you were an experienced dev coming into this, you should definitely learn how to work with AI tools.
Two weeks of actual work? Or two weeks because you'd only be able to work on it for 20-30 minutes per day at the end of the day when you're already tired?
When I book online, I receive the ticket. I don’t receive a ticket of an imaginary flight of a made up company with the notice “you should check the validity of the ticket yourself”.
It does seem like most of the American economy since factories left has been information asymmetry. The travel agents had the "special phone number" to call to get someone on a boat for half the price. Probably a little bit more than that. We're going to entering a time of crushing economic conditions.
Ironically, the advent of LLMs brings back the information asymmetry, bringing back the value of personal connections / recommendations.
while AI does lower the barrier to who can do software development it does not nullify their need only moves them into more complicated domains. Yes, if you're job as a SWE was building landing pages, you're pretty much cooked. But if you're working in complicated domains, or domains that require a level of technical awareness or social skills to create success, AI is just an amplifier and makes the boring/frustrating parts easier.
I am using claude to build a pretty complicated project. Technically, a lot of what i am prompting are things that other people could prompt. But I also do find myself leveraging a lot of knowledge in shaping what the code should do and how it should do it, and also needing to step in when claude reaches limits of it's training. I am confident that the number of people who could build what I am building is pretty small.
So I think the author is creating a narrative that is unfounded. There will always be software engineers. There will always be engineering challenges that it takes a human to resolve. Yes, always; no matter how "smart" the AI gets. For sure, AI will be taking some development jobs. But calling for a collapse is simply hyperbole, shortsighted and naive.
FWIW I just did in four hours what would have taken me about two weeks for my side project.
The boring routine parts of software engineering are no more. My project is elixir phoenix and tailwind. The AI and I completely overhauled my sites UI and UX and implemented many bug fixes and effectively relaunched my website in four hours.
If you were an experienced dev coming into this, you should definitely learn how to work with AI tools.
Two weeks of actual work? Or two weeks because you'd only be able to work on it for 20-30 minutes per day at the end of the day when you're already tired?
The latter of course! It's a whole new world of possibilities
Earlier: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46404753